Izingqinamba ze-supply chain ziyaqhubeka nokuhlupha ezolimo, futhi njengoba abalimi besebenzela ukwenza izinqumo zokufaka isizini ka-2022, osomnotho balindele amanani entengo aphezulu ukuthi aqhubeke entwasahlobo. Isizathu esisodwa esikhulu sezinkinga ezinzima ze-supply chain yi-China, njengoba cishe u-75% wezithako ezisebenzayo namakhemikhali okuvikela izitshalo avela e-China.
Ngaphandle kokuba uMongameli Biden kanye noXi Jinping waseChina bebambe umhlangano obhekwe ngabomvu ngesonto eledlule, izindaba ze-supply chain azizange zixoxwe. Njengoba i-AgWeb ibike, gamanani e-lyphosate akhuphuka noma yikuphi ukusuka ku-100% ukuya ku-300% ezindaweni, futhi lokho uma ungakwazi ngisho ukuyithola.
Izinkinga ze-Geopolitical at Play
Kamuva nje Ingxoxo ye-supply chain ephethwe yiFarm Journal, Umhlaziyi weRaboResearch uSam Taylor uthe i-China iwumthombo oyinhloko wezinkinga zokuhlinzekwa kwe-herbicides ngo-2022. U-Taylor, ocwaninga umkhakha wezinto ezisetshenziswa epulazini eNyakatho Melika, akabheki kuphela umanyolo namakhemikhali ezolimo, kodwa nomnotho wasemapulazini obanzi.
"Phakathi kuka-70% no-75% wezithako ezisebenzayo zivela e-China," u-Taylor etshela umsakazi we-AgriTalk u-Chip Flory. "Uma ubhala phansi kudatha, endaweni ethile esondele ku-90% wabaphakathi, abangena ekukhiqizeni izithako ezisebenzayo, empeleni batholakala eChina."
I-Nutrien Ag Solutions nayo ibheka isimo. Ngenxa yenqubomgomo yaseChina yokungabekezeleli lutho kwe-COVID kusukela ekuqaleni, nokusebenzisa ukuvalwa okuqinile ukuvimbela ukusabalala kwaleli gciwane, inkampani ibika ukuthi i-US yazi ukuthi okokufaka epulazini kuzobona izinto ezisetshenziswayo, hhayi lokhu kubi kakhulu.
“Uma kubhekwa iqiniso lokuthi u-70% kuya ku-75% wezithako ezisebenzayo ezakha amakhemikhali okuvikela izitshalo zivela eChina, besazi ukuthi kube nokuhamba kancane, ukuvalwa kwezindawo laphaya. Ngakho besilungiselela ngandlela thize, kodwa besingazi ngempela kuze kube uMashi ukuthi kuzoba yini imiphumela ephelele,” kusho uJeff Tarsi, uNutrien Ag Solutions.
Njengoba amanani okokufaka eqhubeka nokukhuphuka ingabe amanani okokufaka angathola impumuzo? Bobabili osomnotho wezolimo nabahlaziyi bezolimo bathi mancane amathuba okuthi lokho uma kubhekwa isimo samanje.
"Nginomuzwa wokuthi ukubheja emananini okufakwayo empeleni kuwukubheja ngokuzuzisa kuka-Xi Jingping kanye nomusa ka-Vladimir Putin, kanye nesimo sezulu," kusho uTaylor. "Futhi ngicabanga ukuthi lezi yizinto ongeke ukwazi ukuzishaya umthetho."
"Iqiniso liwukuthi isethi yezinto eziyinkimbinkimbi kakhulu, kusukela ku-geopolitics, izimo zezulu kuya ezinkingeni zesakhiwo," kusho u-Allan Gray, okwamanje osebenza njengomqondisi wenhlangano. Isikhungo Sebhizinisi Lokudla Nezolimo eNyuvesi yasePurdue. “Ngisho okungaka wukuthi asinabo abashayeli bamaloli abenele. Futhi yilokho ekugcineni okubiliswe engxenyeni enkulu, enkulu yale nkinga.”
U-Taylor uthi intengo yokufaka kanye nobuhlungu bokuhlinzeka akuyona nje indaba yaseNyakatho Melika. Uthi yinto ekhungethe abakhiqizi emhlabeni jikelele.
“Futhi njengoba sishintsha futhi sizungeza izinkathi zonyaka ukusuka enyakatho nenkabazwe kuya engxenyeni eseningizimu yenkabazwe, bazoqala ukuzibonela ezinye izinkinga ngokwabo. Ngakho-ke sizobona lezi zinkinga ziqhubeka ngekusasa elibonakalayo, ngokuqinisekile. ”
Intengo nosizo lokuhlinzekwa yinto ebukwa osomnotho be-ag ezweni lonke. Kodwa ngenxa yamanani aphakeme wamanani kagesi, kanye nezinkinga ze-supply chain eziqhubeka nokuhlupha uhlelo lokuphelelwa yisikhathi, osomnotho abaningi abanalo ithemba ngamanani okufakwa epulazini awela ngaphambi kwentwasahlobo.
I-Glufosinate ku-Tight Supply
Akuyona nje i-glyphosate eyinkinga yentengo kanye nokutholakala kwabalimi nabathengisi be-ag abazama ukuqhamuka nohlelo lwekhemikhali lwangonyaka ozayo. Abathengisi be-Ag I-Farm Journal ikhulume yathi izimpahla ze-glufosinate akwaziwa, ngamanani akhuphuka ngo-50% noma ngaphezulu.
UScott Kay, iphini likamongameli wophiko lwe-BASF lwe-US Crops uthi nakuba izimpahla ziqinile, inkampani isebenzela ukuthola umkhiqizo ezitolo ngaphambi kwenkathi yokukhula ka-2022. Uthi inkampani isebenzisana kakhulu nemboni yokudayisa kanye nabalimi ukwenza isiqiniseko sokuthi bonke bayasiphatha ngokubambisana isimo esikhona, baze bacabange nangezinye izindlela zokulawula ukhula ngo-2022.
“Izinto ezitholakalayo ziminyene kakhulu, kodwa yini esingayenza ukuze silawule ukhula ukuze kube nezifutho ezimbalwa ngemva kokuhluma? Singakwazi ukubeka okunye okusele? Singakwazi ukuphatha ukhula ngendlela ehlukile? Okuhle kakhulu nge-BASF ukuthi ngokombono wezobuchwepheshe, sinephothifoliyo ebanzi yemikhiqizo yangemuva kokufakwa kwesicelo, noma ngabe leyo yi-Engenia, izitshalo ezibekezelela i-dicyamba, noma i-Liberty engakwazi ukuwela kuzo zombili izici ze-Enlist, Liberty kanye ne-Xtend,” kusho uKay. . “Kanjalo nakimi, ziningi nje izindlela esingakuphatha ngazo lokhu.”
Lezo zingxoxo nabathengisi bezitolo sezivele zenzeka. UTarsi uthi iNutrien ibisebenzisana eduze nezindawo zayo zokudayisa kusukela ehlobo ukuze iqale uhlelo lokuhlanganisa ezinye izinhlelo zokusiza ngokushoda kwezinto ezifakiwe.
“Ekupheleni kukaJulayi, Agasti, ukuya kuSepthemba, (sicabange) ukuthi u-2022 angase abe yinselelo enkulu kuno-2021 abeyizici eziningi. Ngakho-ke sichitha isikhathi esiningi njengamanje nezazi zethu zezolimo namahlathi kanye namakhasimende ethu. Ngokusobala, ukuvuna sekuqalile futhi kuza kahle ngempela. Kepha siphumile njengamanje sakha izinhlelo zezitshalo, lokho amakhasimende ethu aqala ukusebenza, esikwaziyo namuhla nalokho okushintsha nsuku zonke. ”
U-Kay uthi isikhathi eside, i-BASF itshala izigidi ezingu-260 zamaRandi emandleni ayo okukhiqiza eNyakatho Melika, okuzosiza ukukhiqiza esikhathini esizayo.
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