Uhlaka olusha lomqondo lokufaka indlela izitshalo ezisebenzisa ngayo ikhabhoni namanzi, noma amandla ezitshalo, kumamodeli ekhompiyutha anesilinganiso esihle somlilo wasendle inikeza isinyathelo sokuqala esibalulekile ekubikezelweni komlilo okuthuthukisiwe komhlaba wonke.
“Ukuqonda amathonya okwakheka kwezimila kanye ne-physiology endaweni yasendle umlilo kubalulekile ekubikezeleni ngokunembile ukuziphatha komlilo nemiphumela yawo,” kusho uL. Turin Dickman, isazi sesayensi yezinto eziphilayo nezitshalo eLos Alamos National Laboratory. U-Dickman ungumbhali ohambelanayo wephepha lezitshalo kanye nokumodela komlilo kujenali Isazi sezifo esisha. "Ucwaningo lwethu lungasetshenziswa ukuthuthukisa amamodeli abaphathi bomlilo abadinga ukuzulazula ngekusasa elingaqinisekile."
Ephepheni, ithimba labacwaningi bamazwe ngamazwe lithole ukuthi amanzi kanye ne-carbon dynamics yezitshalo, ezithonya ukuvutha kanye ukushisa okushisa esitshalweni futhi ngokuvamile inqume ukusinda kwayo, inikeza indlela exhumanisa ukuziphatha komlilo nokulimala kwezitshalo, ukufa kanye nokululama.
Lokhu okutholakele kugcizelela ukubaluleka kokubalwa kwezimali i-physiology yezitshalo futhi ukusetshenziswa kwamanzi ekubikezelweni komlilo wequbula kanye nasekuhleleni umlilo okunqunyiwe, lapho amazinga omswakama wezibaseli enomthelela omkhulu ekutheni umlilo uvutha kanjani.
Ukuvala igebe ekumodeleni
Isomiso kanye nezinga lokushisa eliphakeme kwandisa ukucindezeleka kwamanzi ezitshalweni, okugqugquzela indima yezitshalo ekuziphatheni komlilo, kusho u-Dickman.
“Imililo yequbula iyi- ubunzima bomhlaba wonke, futhi izitshalo zisabela ngokomzimba esomiso nokufudumala,” kusho uDickman. “Amamodeli amanje omlilo ahluleka ukuthwebula ukusabela kwezitshalo esimweni sezulu esishintshayo, kodwa amamodeli esizukulwane esilandelayo angakwazi ukulingisa izinqubo ezibonakalayo eziya ziba nzima. Ngakho-ke indlela yethu izobaluleka ukuze sikwazi ukwenza amamodeli alingise umthelela walezo zimpendulo ezimweni zamafutha aphilayo. ”
Imililo ishisa amahlathi amaningi kanye nezihlahlana ezindaweni lapho umswakama wezitshalo uzwela kakhulu emanzini alinganiselwe. Isibonelo, izindlela ezahlukahlukene zezinhlobo ezihlala ziluhlaza zisebenzisa amanzi zingabangela ukuhluka okukhulu kokuqukethwe kwazo komswakama. Lokho-ke kuba nomthelela ekutheni zisha kanjani nokuthi ziyasinda yini, leli phepha laphawula.