Abalimi abakwazi ukulungisa isimo ngokutholakala kukamanyolo kanye nezindleko zokufaka eziphakeme, kodwa bangakwazi ukuqonda kangcono izidingo zabo zokuvunda kwezitshalo, ngisho namanje.
Njengoba abalimi base-US behlola izidingo zokuzala, amanani kanye namathuba okukhokha kusengaphambili kulo Disemba odlule - futhi bazibuza ukuthi bazobambezeleka yini ukuthenga, bethemba ukuthi amanani angase abe ngcono ngaphambi kwenkathi yokutshala - uCorey Rosenbusch wayenza ukuhlola okufanayo. Ngokusekelwe kulokho amalungu emboni amtshela yona, uRosenbusch uthi isilinganiso “esingajwayelekile” singu-50% wemikhiqizo kamanyolo abalimi abazoyidinga kule ntwasahlobo isezindaweni zokugcina izimpahla zase-US nasezikhungweni zokusabalalisa.
"Asikho neze kulelo phuzu elingu-100% lokuba nakho konke okudingekayo," etshela i-Farm Journal ngesikhathi sengxoxo ku-2022 Commodity Classic. “Umbuzo uthi yini elandelayo? Yini okufanele siyilungiselele?” uyanezela.
Bamba 'Inkunzi' Ngezimpondo Zayo
Abalimi abakwazi ukulungisa isimo ngokutholakala kukamanyolo kanye nezindleko zokufaka eziphakeme, kodwa bangakwazi ukuqonda kangcono izidingo zabo zokuvunda kwezitshalo, ngisho namanje. U-Rosenbusch weluleka abalimi ukuthi bancike kubathengisi nabanye abeluleki bezolimo ukuze babasize baphumelele ngemikhiqizo ngangokunokwenzeka. Futhi, uma umhlabathi usuncibilikile, uthi hamba uyodonsa amasampula omhlaba futhi uthole ukuthi akutshela wona.
“Uma ungakhethi umhlabathi, uma ungasebenzisi i-variable rate, uma ungasebenzisi imigomo ye-4R stewardship ukuze uphumelele ngangokunokwenzeka ngomanyolo wakho, manje yisikhathi sokukwenza,” usho kanje. . “Uma kukhona ukukhanya okukhanyayo kulesi simo esikhona semakethe ukuthi kuzogqugquzela abalimi ukuthi basebenzise futhi basebenzise lezi zimiso zokuphatha izakhi epulazini labo.”
Emkhathizwe Oseduzane
Njengoba ehlola isimo samanje sikamanyolo, uRosenbusch uthi i-US isabhekene nezinselelo ezingase zibe khona zokuthola imikhiqizo ilethwe ezweni. Ekudlalweni yilokho akubiza ngokuthi “imiphumela ehlobene” - izici eziningi ezimakethe ezithintana zodwa - ezihlangene zenza inkathi yokutshala ezayo iphathelane kabi. Izinto ezimbili ezihlukile, ezingaba khona ezingase zisebenze kule sizini futhi zibe nomthelela ekuhlinzekweni kukamanyolo kubalimi base-US:
1. Isiteleka sesitimela se-CP esingaba khona eCanada.
I-US ithola u-80% wepotashi yayo kumakhelwane wayo osenyakatho, kusho uRosenbusch. Isiteleka sesitimela singasho ukuthi umkhiqizo othize uzowela umngcele futhi ungene e-US Encwadini yangomhla ziyisi-7 kuNdasa eya kuMongameli uJoe Biden, i-Fertilizer Institute, iNational Grain and Feed Association, kanye namanye amalungu ayi-19 e-Agricultural Transportation Working Group acele abaphathi. sebenzisana nohulumeni waseCanada ukuze kugwenywe isiteleka esikhulu sabasebenzi bakwaloliwe kanye nokuhoxisa igunya lokugomela ukuwela imingcele labasebenzi abahambisa ezentengiselwano ezibalulekile.
"Senze konke okusemandleni ukukhuthaza i-White House ukuthi ibucayi kangakanani kulokhu okuza ngenkathi yasentwasahlobo," kusho uRosenbusch. "Sinozakwethu e-Ottawa, sinxusa uhulumeni waseCanada ukuthi abambe iqhaza, ngoba lokho kungaba ukuphazamiseka okukhulu kwemakethe uma kwenzeka into enjalo."
2. Umphumela we-domino odalwe ukuntula ukufinyelela kugesi yemvelo.
I-Russia ihlinzeka ngengxenye enkulu yegesi yemvelo eYurophu. Lokho kubalulekile e-US, ngoba ukukhiqizwa kwe-nitrogen kusekelwe kugesi yemvelo. "Ngakho-ke, uma sibheka ukuncishiswa okukhulu kokukhiqizwa kwe-nitrogen yaseYurophu, lokho kuzoba, uyazi, imiphumela ebalulekile ye-nitrogen emhlabeni," kuchaza uRosenbusch.
Kungenzeka kanjani lokho e-US ukuthi abalimi bangakwazi ukuthola i-nitrogen kodwa ingahle ingabi ngendlela abayifunayo noma abajwayele ukuyisebenzisa. "Ungahle ungayitholi njenge-UAN, futhi kuzodingeka usebenzise i-urea esikhundleni," kusho u-Rosenbusch, njengesibonelo. "Ngakho-ke, sizodinga nakanjani sibe nokuguquguquka okuthile mayelana nohlobo lomkhiqizo ukuze sifeze izidingo zakho ze-nitrogen."